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Posted by wmmbb in Global Warming (climate change), Natural Environment.

Let’s get conspiratorial. The recent hot weather, with resultant bush fires, is  due to climate change.

And  to get really, really conspiratorial let’s attribute that to human causality due to the  increased levels of greenhouse gases, principally Carbon Dioxide. Now we will have the climate contrarians, delutionists, or whatever label they want to bear, ghish galloping, or flat denying.

Ben Cubby, at The Sydney Morning Herald takes a more analytic and dispassionate approach, but his a dreaded “warmist” -must not forget to use the swear words. He writes:

The heatwave that has scorched the nation since Christmas is a taste of things to come, with this week’s records set to tumble again and again in the coming years, climate scientists said.

The hottest average maximum temperature ever recorded across Australia – 40.33 degrees, set on Monday – might stand for only 24 hours and be eclipsed when all of Tuesday’s readings come in. The previous record had stood since December 21, 1972.
”The current heatwave – in terms of its duration, its intensity and its extent – is unprecedented in our records,” said the Bureau of Meteorology’s manager of climate monitoring and prediction, David Jones. ”Clearly, the climate system is responding to the background warming trend. Everything that happens in the climate system now is taking place on a planet which is a degree hotter than it used to be.”

As the warming trend increased over coming years and decades, record-breaking heat would become more common, Dr Jones said.

”We know that global climate doesn’t respond monotonically – it does go up and down with natural variation. That’s why some years are hotter than others because of a range of factors. But we are getting many more hot records than we’re getting cold records. That’s not an issue that is explained away by natural variation.”

Australia’s climate is based on an interplay of many factors, including regional and local weather patterns, El Nino and La Nina climate cycles and the Indian Ocean dipole, all superimposed on the greenhouse gas-driven warming trend.
While temperatures vary on a local and regional scale, globally it has been 27 years since the world experienced a month that was colder than average.

This is obviously warmist propaganda (I get points for repeating swear words). Then Ben Cubby provides a quote (Please be warned. I do now wish you any harm) that will have the free market contrarians etc choking on their breakfast cereal:

“Those of us who spend our days trawling – and contributing to – the scientific literature on climate change are becoming increasingly gloomy about the future of human civilisation,” said Liz Hanna, convener of the human health division at the Australian National University’s climate change Adaption Network.

”We are well past the time of niceties, of avoiding the dire nature of what is unfolding, and politely trying not to scare the public,” Dr Hanna said. ”The unparalleled setting of new heat extremes is forcing the continual upwards trending of warming predictions for the future, and the time scale is contracting.”

Now going back to old news, the Environmental Leader reported in April 2009:

It’s coming to light that for years the Global Climate Coalition, an industry funded group that has argued that global warming is a sham, ignored the advice of scientists on its own payroll, according to the New York Times.

Scientists told the coalition that the science behind global warming was irrefutable, according to a court document.

For years, the coalition, which is funded by the oil, coal and auto industries, touted its message that “the role of greenhouse gases in climate change is not well understood” and that “scientists differ,” according to the story.

Yet, experts on the coalition’s’ payroll wrote in a 1995 internal report that “The scientific basis for the Greenhouse Effect and the potential impact of human emissions of greenhouse gases such as CO2 on climate is well established and cannot be denied.”

The coalition spent millions throughout the late 1990s and early 2000s spreading its message that global warming was not based on science.

The PR Industry has to be involved as well:

There are heroes among the serried scientists who beg to disagree and dissent from the consensus. William Kininmonth and Bob Carter arguesd that Hurricane Sandy was not due to climate change:

The wilful misuse of science by lobby groups to support their agendas has now become an epidemic. The view that more frequent or extreme climate events are occurring, as advanced by many commentators, directly contradicts the considered advice of scores of climate experts, including all those who wrote the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the Non-governmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC).

That formal government advisory bodies such as the Climate Commission are supported in their flagrant disregard for scientific principles and facts by senior CSIRO and university research managers is cause for severe national concern.
A Climate Commission that had the safety and welfare of Australians at its heart would be advising Parliament to expend resources on community infrastructure that mitigates the hazards associated with climate extremes. It would resile from opportunistic attempts to link human tragedies such as Sandy with speculative anthropogenic global warming.

About 70 per cent of natural disasters are weather and climate related. Building resilience by ensuring early warning and planning robust infrastructure will enhance the safety and amenity of our communities. Sensible planning will also ensure that economic loss is minimised and that there is quick recovery in the aftermath. These are positive actions that carry a guaranteed benefit.

Why cannot Canberra politicians and their advisers work out for themselves that climate hazard is most effectively handled using prudent and cost-effective policies of preparation and adaptation for extreme events?

Can this be simply dismissed as blatant, serial lying, or is there something else going on. Perhaps Naomi Oreskes was on the case:

rog at John Quiggin makes the point it is not even an El Nino year.



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