SYRIAN BLOODBATH April 3, 2012Posted by wmmbb in Middle East, Modern History, Oil, Peace.
The situation in Syria represents a genuine humanitarian crisis, and it seems that violence there has potential to spread beyond its borders.
For example, Juan Cole says the consequences are likely to flow over the borders. He identifies five outcomes:
- As Syrian refugees flow into Turkey, the possibility of Syrian-Turkish clashes grows.
- As small arms flow into Syria, bought up by the revolution, they can be sold back onto the market and flow into Jordan, which has in the past seen heavy fighting between the central government and tribal groups in places like Maan over smuggling.
- Likewise, the Palestinian refugee camps in the region could be flooded with small arms weapons, encouraging the reemergence of a militant faction, with negative implications for all concerned, including Israel.
- In Iraq, the dominant Shiite parties tend to support al-Assad, whereas the Sunnis mostly support the revolutionaries. Renewed sectarian tensions in Iraq could produce further turmoil.
- Lebanon’s fragile peace could easily be disturbed. Sunni leader Saad Hariri, supported by Saudi Arabia, supports the uprising. Many observers blame the Syrian Baath Party for assassinating his father, Rafiq al-Hariri, in 2005. At the same time, the party of the Southern Shiites, Hizbullah, supports Bashar al-Assad and is patrolling the border to keep weapons and aid shipments from going to the opposition. Renewed Sunni Shiite fighting could break out over Syria.
Following the “humanitarian” intervention in Libya, the other economic and military powers, whether or not they are represented on the UN Security Council have become more suspicious of the methods, means and ends of the American and NATO group of countries. As has been evidence elsewhere, in particular by the behavior of Israel, violence has been used to foment violence for the purposes of political domination and control key resources. Enemies and enemy figures, even those such as Saddam Hussein, who once were proxies and agents of influence, can be very useful in both guises. Who can forget the barbaric Iraqi-Iranian war that raged for years without international mediation?
The refusal to engage in peaceful negotiation is typical of recent interventions into what are in essence civil wars, for example in both Afghanistan and Libya. We don’t have to ask why that might be so. It seems the same script is in play in Syria:
The question is why is the West so involved in the Middle East, since the imperial powers drew it borders, with in the interesting exception of Iran? Could it have something to do with the competition to control the fossil fuel resources of the region by those economies that are dependent on that energy source?
- Deborah Pasmantier, Actress icon of Syrian revolt warns of sectarian warfare (Yahoo news/AFP):
Fadwa Suleiman, an actress who became an icon of Syria’s revolution, is furious that her country’s peaceful protest movement has been drawn into armed conflict with the regime.
She said she is saddened to see that “the revolution is not going in the right direction, that it is becoming armed, that the opposition which wanted to resist peacefully is playing the game of the regime and that the country is heading for sectarian war”.
Her bitter assessment comes as she sits in a cafe in Paris, where she fled to last week after escaping from Syria.
“I didn’t want to leave Syria but I didn’t have the choice. I was being threatened and I was becoming a threat for the activists who were helping me,” she said wearily.
- Chris Floyd notes, Fools rush in: April prank next American war:
America’s chief ally in the Syrian intervention is Saudi Arabia — a theocratic-autocratic regime that is, by every measure, far, far more repressive than Syria. The Saudi royals ruthlessly — and violently — suppress any peaceful protest against their stifling, draconian rule. They have sent troops and weapons and money to murderously repress peaceful protests in neighbouring Bahrain. Yet Secretary Clinton stood proudly with these murderous repressive tyrants this weekend as she outlined their joint plan to ensure the death and suffering of more people in Syria.
- Juan Cole, Irag slams Saudis, Qataris for plans to arm Syrian Rebels.
- Nations pledge millions for Syrian opposition (nzherald.co.nz)
- West Seeks to Perpetuate Syrian Bloodbath (usapartisan.com)
- U.S. and others move to increase assistance to Syrian rebels (mercurynews.com)
- Bashar al-Assad Must Obey Peace Plan Or Other Countries Will Arm Opposition (kayceeweezy.wordpress.com)
- Nations pledge millions for Syrian opposition (boston.com)
- US pledges $12M to Syria’s rebels – CBS News (cbsnews.com)
- Clashes across Syria ahead of Annan’s U.N. briefing (washingtontimes.com)
- Nations pledge millions for Syrian opposition (kansascity.com)
- ‘Friends of Syria’ to pay salaries of Syrian rebels (ctv.ca)
- Syrian troops, rebels clash ahead of Annan’s UN briefing (theglobeandmail.com)
- Gulf countries promise Syrian rebels equipment and millions of dollars (scotsman.com)
- Gulf plan could be blank check for Syrian rebels (hosted.ap.org)
- Red Cross Proposes Daily Cease-Fires in Syria – New York Times (nytimes.com)
- Rage And Refuge On The Border (theglobalmail.org)