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FORECAST: VENEZUELA NEXT June 4, 2011

Posted by wmmbb in Uncategorized.
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This is the way that Empire works. Remove any barrier that law might limit, and then it is pretty much open slather. The barbarians are at the gate seeking to establish their regime of violence-based dominance and theft.

South America seemed to have broken free of the century and more of “American” domination, perhaps with the exception of Colombia, which apparently is not part of our story. Nik Nikandrov at Strategic Cultural Foundation sees Venezuela and its oil are in the gunsights. He notes:

There is a growing impression that Venezuela with its oil riches is the next country on the US hit list. One would have to be a hopeless idealist to believe that – after US crusades swept across Asian and African oil-producing countries – the Venezuelan oil deposits so far remaining beyond the US control would somehow evade Washington’s appetite. According to various estimates, Venezuela’s fuel reserves should last for 100-150 years under the conditions of strenuous exploitation…

The now-permanent US war over oil against Venezuela commenced in December, 2002 when the management of the country’s oil giant PDVSA staged a strike involving a total of around 20,000 personnel. Chavez’s foes expected that a destabilization across the Venezuelan oil sector, lines at gas stations, and problems with gas supply to households would shatter the defiant regime, but its supporters did not give in. The strike ended with a defeat in February, 2003, and PDVSA was converted into a state-run company. The pro-US fifth column entrenched in PDVSA was exposed and many of its leaders fled from Venezuela. Some 15,000 oil sector employees were fired and the losses resulting from the turmoil topped $10b.

Rebuilding PDVSA was an uphill task for the Venezuelan administration and the part of the company’s personnel who had resisted the conspirators’ threats and blackmail. Chavez’s steps aimed at strengthening OPEC, subjecting the oil output to regulation, and maintaining fair prices helped boost the influence exercised globally by the cartel, Russia whose economy is propped up by oil revenues being among the beneficiaries. Chavez’s support also helped Cuba which was widely seen as a country on the brink to make it through an energy crisis.

Let us accept the case presented, then the question is how can the Venezuelan people best defend their natural resources? That is not a problem that they have on their own.Can nonviolence work in this case? How might that play out? The usual way to play the game is to meet violence with violence, with the aggressor typically denying their role, something that must become increasingly difficult to maintain from a state showing no regard to the Global rule of law.

The violent manner of thinking is on display with respect to the response to a putative cyber attack on those who might be alleged to engage in cyber-attacks. The Pentagon is not saying that the US will help create a system of international law and adjudication on each of the issues. In the Independent, David Usborne reports:

Deliberate cyber-attacks by any foreign nation on vital computer networks in the United States may be considered an “act of war” that could be met by a full-blown military response, say officials in Washington.

The stern warning comes as the Pentagon hurries to complete a new policy blueprint on defending America’s transport, power and defence systems against enemies digitally insinuating themselves, with malicious intent, into the country’s cyber-nervous system.

“A response to a cyber-incident or attack on the US would not necessarily be a cyber-response. All appropriate options would be on the table,” said Pentagon spokesman Colonel Dave Lapan. A defence official told The Wall Street Journal: “If you shut down our power grid, maybe we will put a missile down one of your smokestacks.”

The United States would never do such a thing to another country, and would recoil in shock if such a country were to respond in a similar manner.

Idealism is a force in American politics, not to be underestimated, but a cynic may not be so easily reassured, or the powers that be moved.

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