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NSW LABOR ELECTORAL WIPEOUT March 27, 2011

Posted by wmmbb in Australian Politics.
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The Sydney Morning Herald website called yesterday’s election a “bloodbath” for what was described as one of the biggest electoral triumphs in Australian history.

There was very little violence, other than violent expressions of opinion. Heath Aston reported in the paper:

The Coalition snatched as many as 29 seats from Labor and was heading for a statewide swing of about 17 per cent, although several outgoing Labor ministers – widely predicted to lose their seats – looked like hanging on.

While the ALP hoped to retain as many as 21 seats, nine more than the worst predictions, Labor’s campaign director, Luke Foley, conceded: ”The heartland is gone.”

It appeared the Greens would fail to enter the Legislative Assembly for the first time by claiming Marrickville from the outgoing deputy premier Carmel Tebbutt. Another Labor minister, Verity Firth, may head off the Greens in Balmain. And John Robertson, the man widely predicted to become the new Labor leader, looked safe in Blacktown.

My sense of things was that Labor lost, rather than the election was triumph for the policies and personnel of the incoming Liberal Government, which will now have an overwhelming majority in the Legislative Assembly. What sort of government will now take control will have to be seen. The personality of the leader becomes a critical factor. Barry O’Farrell, given the realities of the role of State Governments, is, for example, no David Cameron. Having a large backbench allows the opportunity for dissent. Then there is the alliance with the National Party, which I expect to come under pressure, at least for the next four years.

The fact that Labor has lost many of its lifelong supporters suggests the electorate has become more mercurial. How is the Labor Party to rebuild? And if it is does not successfully do so there will be implications for Federal Politics.

The optional preferential system worked against the Greens winning seats in the lower house. although there has to be significance in the fact that the Greens outpolled Labor in several safe Coalition seats.

State politics in NSW has become very interesting indeed.

Comments»

1. PAUL VIANNENC - March 27, 2011

Today CHRISTINA tomoorow JULIA,they have to understand you need to listen to the people.enough or you will push people to the brink of non return,JULIA we dont have a money tree in the backyard,so be careful our patience has it limits,we are a peaceful mob but dont go to far.NO MORE TAX. NO CARBON TAX, THAT IS IT!!

wmmbb - March 27, 2011

My sense of it was that the Carbon Tax did not have much to do with Labor’s demise in NSW. To me the Carbon Tax in the context of Global Warming and its potential catastrophic implications is defensible public policy. Whether it can be shown to work or there is a better alternative is open.

Neither I writing a post, or political newspaper columnists, can do justice for all the factors, but I would have thought that the electricity privatization deal, and other long running factors such as the planning laws created a political environment that was reprehensible. The problem of isolation from the concerns of the public and the influence of the special interests has not disappeared.

I agree with you, Paul, the electors, even the rusted ones, have shown they will not put up with some behavior, which I find a very positive outcome of the election. Equally, I am sure that after time, this impact of this lesson will be forgotten.

2. Josh - March 29, 2011

Why this was only a state election. I absolutely agree, Julia must go. You folks down under have no idea what DIAC started to do with offshore student visa applications after Julia and her government got the power in last year’s election. Even students from lowest migration risk European countries are interviewed, asked to provide number of additional documents and refused to grant visas at the end for rudiculous reasons. These students share their experience through facebook and other social media, and with a speed of light making sure just everybody knows how does it feel to apply for an aussie student visa these days. Education is third largest export industry in Australia and this government will ruin it all, number of students decline dramatically, thousands of people in Australia will loss their jobs…and yes I agree, you dont have money trees on your backyards…so please rid off Julia otherwise this will cost your country big big $$$.


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