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UN FORCE IN LEBANON August 17, 2006

Posted by wmmbb in Category to be ascribed.

I have now convinced myself that the only way to see the recent conflict in the Levant is as part of a long running war that breaks out periodically, and the periodicity is somewhere between ten and fifteen years, if the ongoing conflict with the Palestinians is not taken into view. We would expect to see the outbreak of another major conflict installment by or soon after 2016.

In the meantime, and subject to the ceasefire holding, UN Resolution 1701 required the stationing of a International Force and the disarmament of Hizbullah. I will believe the latter when I see it.

French was widely believed to be the country to lead the beefed up UN presence and provide the majority of the troops. Not understanding matters machiavellian, I did not know why France would want to take on this role, for it seems to me there is more downside that upside. The BBC reports that the French seem to be reconsidering.



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